Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007295 0.008558 0.010066 0.012028 0.014555 0.017761 0.022235
2025-04-06 0.005543 0.007000 0.008935 0.011786 0.016049 0.022499 0.033716
2025-04-13 0.004733 0.006280 0.008493 0.012065 0.018063 0.028607 0.051180
2025-04-20 0.004290 0.005928 0.008420 0.012772 0.020909 0.037497 0.082168
2025-04-27 0.003912 0.005580 0.008248 0.013224 0.023445 0.047388 0.129511
2025-05-04 0.003539 0.005171 0.007882 0.013208 0.025025 0.056288 0.192379
2025-05-11 0.003237 0.004828 0.007559 0.013177 0.026557 0.066410 0.291909
2025-05-18 0.002948 0.004468 0.007142 0.012849 0.027251 0.074757 0.422144
2025-05-25 0.002667 0.004087 0.006633 0.012211 0.026909 0.079404 0.559881
2025-06-01 0.002447 0.003791 0.006241 0.011754 0.026921 0.085763 0.786083
2025-06-08 0.002331 0.003667 0.006166 0.012003 0.029127 0.104759 1.575836
2025-06-15 0.002198 0.003497 0.005975 0.011934 0.030339 0.121027 3.104474
2025-06-22 0.002020 0.003246 0.005619 0.011466 0.030328 0.132797 6.305717
2025-06-29 0.001882 0.003057 0.005373 0.011246 0.031208 0.153934 22.510098
2025-07-06 0.001799 0.002963 0.005314 0.011508 0.034127 0.201148 2908.233176
2025-07-13 0.001752 0.002935 0.005392 0.012170 0.039280 0.298075 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001692 0.002873 0.005386 0.012593 0.043827 0.429000 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001611 0.002761 0.005247 0.012578 0.046248 0.557005 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001536 0.002656 0.005113 0.012549 0.048680 0.732746 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001453 0.002527 0.004908 0.012243 0.049302 0.880369 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001362 0.002376 0.004633 0.011645 0.047751 0.930453 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001287 0.002253 0.004418 0.011217 0.047126 1.038541 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001250 0.002209 0.004392 0.011450 0.051315 1.626802 NaN